GDP growth has become virtually every nation’s default measure of
progress. For India, its slowing GDP continues to make headlines and is
the subject of much debate.
Amid concerns from the Government, the business community and citizens
on what impact external events such as the evolving European sovereign
debt crisis may have on India’s growth and jobs, it might also be the
perfect time to take a moment and reflect on India’s economic journey
over the last decade, and ask whether the remarkable GDP growth has been
a true measure of the nation's wealth and more significantly, its
economic sustainability.
Like all emerging and growing economies, India is facing a catch-22
situation: On the one hand, there is pressure to maintain GDP growth as
this is the perceived foundation upon which the future economic security
of its growing population is based, but conversely, India must also
take into consideration the costs of development and not
self-cannibalise its rich natural capital wealth and jeopardise the very
future of the people it is trying to secure.
Over-reliance on GDP as a measure of economic health can be misleading.
As noted long ago by Robert F. Kennedy: “it measures everything, in
short, except that which makes life worthwhile.”
ENVIRONMENTAL LOSS
GDP measures the value of output produced within a country over a
certain time period. However, any depreciation measurements used, will
account only for manmade capital and not the negative impact of growth
on valuable natural capital, such as water, land, forests, biodiversity
and the resulting negative effects on human health and welfare.
For India, there is much to lose if action is not taken to preserve its
natural environment. Its wide range of climate, geography and culture
make it unique amongst biodiversity rich nations.
Biodiversity is an incredibly valuable asset. It is the underlying
foundation of the earth’s ecosystems, the variety and abundance of
species that inhabit them and the variability and diversity of genetic
material found within them.
It provides numerous benefits, from food and fuel, to services such as
freshwater, soil fertility, flood control, pollination of crops and
carbon sequestration by forests that are crucial to both environmental
and human well-being. To this end, biodiversity loss does not only mean
the loss of species, but also the loss of ecosystem functioning.
Although India’s economic growth is to be encouraged, the double-digit
GDP fixation is threatening India’s biodiversity and ironically, its
long-term growth and security.
For example, despite India having set in place a remarkable Protected
Areas network (4.8 per cent of the total geographical area of the
country), it continues to be challenged by the loss of natural habitats.
Over the course of the last fifty years, India has lost over half its
forests, 40 per cent of its mangroves and a significant part of its
wetlands. At least 40 species of plants and animals have become extinct
with several hundred more endangered.
Livelihoods have been lost, poverty increased, food security threatened
and health risks raised. Today, annual economic costs of air pollution,
contaminated water, soil degradation, and deforestation are estimated to
be close to 10 per cent of India’s GDP.
GREEN ACCOUNTING
Better macroeconomic and societal indicators are needed to reflect the
contribution of biodiversity and ecosystem services to human well-being.
One approach that is gaining momentum across the globe is “green
accounting” whereby national accounts are adjusted to include the value
of nature´s goods and services.
Mr Jairam Ramesh, the former environment minister, advocated greening
India’s national accounts by 2015 and encouraged policy makers to
recognise the trade-off between pursuing high growth economic policies
against the extensive impact they could have on India’s natural capital.
One organisation that is already leading the way is the Green Indian
States Trust (GIST) which, in 2003 unleashed a series of environmentally
adjusted accounts under the Green Accounting for Indian States Project.
According to their results, the loss of forest ecological services
(i.e. soil erosion prevention, flood control and ground water
augmentation) over three years (2001-03) due to declining dense forests
was estimated at an astounding 1.1 per cent of GDP.
Breaking it down by States, they showed that for native forest-rich
states such as Arunachal Pradesh, Assam, Himachal Pradesh, Jammu and
Kashmir and Mizoram, the loss of these services was significantly high
as a proportion of their net state domestic product (NSDP) — an
estimated 6 per cent. For instance, if we look at Assam where forest
cover decreased by 0.28 million hectares over three years, the value of
effective flood control alone was at a loss of Rs 800 million.
Following up on the initial study, GIST performed another round of
accounting for the period 2003-2007 and the results speak loudly.
Although the FSI claims an increase in overall forest cover in India,
native dense forest cover is still declining rapidly.
According to GIST´s latest results, the North-Eastern states continue to
be most affected, particularly Arunachal Pradesh and Mizoram where the
loss of forest ecological services is more than 12 per cent of their
NSDP.
So how is India responding?
India is beginning to recognise that protecting biodiversity and
ecosystems is a critical national priority. As a sign of its commitment,
India will host the most important meeting relating to the United
Nations Convention on Biological Diversity (CBD) — the 11th Conference
of Parties (COP-11) — in Hyderabad, during October 8-19, 2012.
The CBD framework emerged from the Rio Earth Summit of 1992 as the most
comprehensive international agreement that aims to help protect and
sustain biodiversity and ecosystems worldwide of which India is a
signatory.
As proud hosts to this important event, India has the opportunity to
show the world that it can take the lead and deliver on its commitments
to preserving and protecting biodiversity and the ecosystem services it
supports. At least this is one step in the right direction.
Thanks for sharing this insightful post on accounting and its services. I enjoyed reading it and it also helped me clear a lot of points that I had doubts about.
ReplyDelete